Project

Using machine learning to support hospital discharge teams to get patients home

Locality:
Hampshire and Isle of Wight
Compilation of images of people working in health and social care

The PROCED-DST project, developed by the University of Southampton's IT Innovation Centre in partnership with University Hospital Southampton, is using machine learning to improve hospital discharge planning. Building on the earlier PROCED model, which accurately predicted patients' onward care needs, PROCED-DST explores how AI can support safer, more timely discharges. 


Compilation of images of people working in health and social care

Our impact

National

14,000

patients remain in hospitals across England despite being ready to be discharged home

"“We know discharge teams across the UK aren’t being provided with the right information at the right time and this is contributing to delays in hospital discharge. Working with the Transfer of Care Hubs across Wessex, we are designing together how data and machine learning could best support proactive planning and help these teams manage their resources.” "

Dr Chris Duckworth

Senior Enterprise Fellow - IT Innovation Centre, University of Southampton

Every day in England, 14,000 patients remain in hospital despite being medically ready to leave, mainly due to delays in arranging onward care. These delays impact hospital flow, admissions, and patient outcomes. By predicting care needs earlier, AI can help discharge teams act sooner and more effectively. 

To ensure the model fits real-world needs, the project team is running five co-design workshops with clinicians and operational staff across Wessex.

These sessions explore: 

Variations in discharge planning across hospitals 

Where AI predictions could best support the process 

How to visualise and communicate the model's output. 

The model, originally trained on data at University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, is now being validated with data from Portsmouth Hospitals University NHS Trust and enhanced with post-admission information. 

A working group, including Health Innovation Wessex (HIW), is guiding the regional roadmap for implementation. This collaboration strengthens partnerships and supports knowledge sharing across NHS trusts. 

A high-impact paper will share findings from the clinical sessions, highlighting how AI can improve patient outcomes and system efficiency.  

In parallel, HIW and the PROCED-DST team will prepare a major funding application to the NIHR Health and Social Care Delivery Research programme, targeting submission by January 2026. 

This initiative aims to deliver scalable, evidence-based AI tools that address real clinical challenges, improving care delivery, equity, and patient experience across the Wessex region. 




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